Even at launch there were never over 1000 concurrent players.
I don't believe download numbers accurately portray interest in the game. Not saying they're flubbed, but anyone could download this game and not play it, or just play it for 10 minutes and decide they hate it.
You have to look at things like Facebook likes and number of members who register on the forums. Those are better indicators of a game's actual fanbase.
200 players, I'll chock that up to this being a beta with some game-ruining bugs.
Upon actual release and possibly Steam or Origin release there should be numbers similar to Renegade at its prime, and I'd be perfectly happy with that.